LONDON research and political risk consultancy Kevin, Charlyn & Kimberly Associates has predicted that President Goodluck Jonathan of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) will win Nigeria's 2015 presidential election with a 13% margin. 

Nigeria's presidential elections hold on March 28 and the race appears to be very close between President Jonathan and his challenger General Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress (APC). According to the consultancy firm, however, President Jonathan should win if everything remains constant. 

According to the group which said it used both monkey survey and political risk index to forecast the election results, the PDP should win despite facing its toughest challenge since being elected in 1999. Its vice president Mr OC Vince, explained that the firm has no partisan interest in the outcome of the election which is left for the people of Nigeria to decide 

According to the company, it decided to conduct the survey because of the general global interest the Nigeria election has generated. Mr Vince said the ruling PDP appears to be facing its toughest challenge in 16 years, adding that he hopes the efforts his company has made will help deepen and strengthen democracy in Nigeria and enable the different contending parties manage their final push towards 2015. 

"Many people around the world, including political leaders and investors are focusing on Nigeria to see how the process of democracy is managed. We randomly conducted a nationwide opinion poll focusing on the six geo-political regions of Nigeria, during which the sampled population were asked three questions centering on human rights, the economy and security," Mr Vince added.